Call it an "educated guess" or decorate it with probabilistic calculations backed by detailed analysis. The truth is in today's market, the movement of share prices are no longer driven simply by fundamentals. Buying a stock or crypto is effectively a speculative trade.

Something about the digital twenty-something year-old generation wanting unlimited amounts of liquidity, unlimited size and unrestricted access to market data just sounds wrong.

Fraud aside, a big part of what led to the downfall of FTX was attributed to a crisis of confidence, much like a bank run in the crypto-currency world.

To revamp today's highly complex financial system using bitcoin or any crypto-alternative would simply take too much work involving several iterations of monetary reforms, even an astronomical "reset" on the global system, sending us all back to the barter economy.